Claypole vs Fénix: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodolfo Vicente Capocasa, Claypole, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Claypole the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Fénix. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Claypole vs Fénix?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Claypole (1,543) and Fénix (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Claypole have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Fénix have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mercedes(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Juventud Unida(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lujan(home) | 1-3 | Primera C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | General Lamadrid(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Yupanqui(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Claypole win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fénix win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fénix 0-2 Claypole | Primera C |
| Feb 13, 2012 | Claypole 0-3 Fénix | Primera D |
| Sep 5, 2011 | Fénix 0-1 Claypole | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Claypole score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fénix score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claypole | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fénix | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Claypole sit 13th in Primera C (25 points from 24 matches) and Fénix sit 12th (26 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Fénix | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 26 |
| 13 | Claypole | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Claypole vs Fénix?
- The Footlab model makes Claypole the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Fénix.
- Where and when is Claypole vs Fénix played?
- Claypole vs Fénix is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rodolfo Vicente Capocasa, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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