Where and when is El Porvenir vs Claypole played?

El Porvenir vs Claypole is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

El Porvenir vs Claypole: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires

El Porvenir

Claypole

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 37% for El Porvenir, 38% for a draw, 25% for Claypole. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win El Porvenir vs Claypole?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate El Porvenir (1,548) and Claypole (1,543).

El Porvenir win37 %

Draw38 %

Claypole win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Claypole have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

El Porvenir
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	0-3	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Fénix(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 28, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(away)	2-3	Primera C

Claypole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Mercedes(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 10, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Juventud Unida(home)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Lujan(home)	1-3	Primera C
Jul 26, 2026	General Lamadrid(away)	0-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Porvenir win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Claypole win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Claypole 1-2 El Porvenir	Primera C
Aug 10, 2025	El Porvenir 0-0 Claypole	Primera C
Apr 26, 2025	Claypole 4-2 El Porvenir	Primera C
Oct 13, 2024	El Porvenir 0-0 Claypole	Primera C
May 10, 2024	Claypole 4-1 El Porvenir	Primera C
Jun 18, 2022	El Porvenir 0-2 Claypole	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Claypole vs El Porvenir on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Claypole score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
El Porvenir	0.5	0.8	8	3/15	3/15
Claypole	0.6	1.7	3	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

El Porvenir sit 10th in Primera C (30 points from 25 matches) and Claypole sit 13th (25 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30
13	Claypole	24	6	7	11	17	30	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for El Porvenir vs Claypole?: The Footlab model calls this one tight: 37% for El Porvenir, 38% for a draw, 25% for Claypole.
Where and when is El Porvenir vs Claypole played?: El Porvenir vs Claypole is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.