Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Solitude, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cliftonville FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Cliftonville FC (1,588) and Carrick Rangers (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cliftonville FC have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cliftonville FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carrick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Cliftonville FC 1-4 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 0-1 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-3 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cliftonville FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville FC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cliftonville FC sit 3rd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cliftonville FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cliftonville FC.
- Where and when is Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Solitude, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.