Larne vs Portadown: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Portadown. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Portadown?
Larne is a heavy favourite: 1,816 Elo points against 1,507, a 309-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Larne vs Portadown
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Larne
4-3-3- 9P. O'Neill
- 30M. Lusty
- 45M. Gibson
- 26D. Bent
- 15R. Doherty
- 21L. Millar
- 4A. Donnelly
- 23T. Cosgrove
- 3M. Ridley
- 11S. Graham
- 1R. Ferguson
Portadown
4-3-3- 7L. Chapman
- 26G. Thompson
- 19J. Teelan
- 28B. Kennedy
- 34Finn Flanagan
- 10E. Fyfe
- 23M. Hewitt
- 3M. Carson
- 2D. Isamala
- 4B. Altintop
- 1A. McCarey
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Portadown have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 5-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Larne wins, 1 draw, 2 Portadown wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portadown 0-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Portadown 2-1 Larne | Premiership |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Larne 3-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Larne 4-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Portadown 2-0 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Larne 1-1 Portadown | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portadown score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.4 | 1.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Portadown | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larne sit 4th in Premiership (19 points from 9 matches) and Portadown sit 11th (8 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Larne | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 11 | Portadown | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Larne vs Portadown?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Portadown?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Larne vs Portadown played?
- Larne vs Portadown is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.