Club Brugge KV vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Genk. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Brugge KV vs Genk?
Club Brugge KV starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,208 vs 2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Brugge KV have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Genk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Club Brugge KV win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Genk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Genk 3-5 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 11, 2025 | Genk 0-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 1-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Genk 1-1 Club Brugge KV | Cup |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-1 Genk | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Genk vs Club Brugge KV on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Genk | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Brugge KV sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Genk sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Brugge KV vs Genk?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Genk.
- Where and when is Club Brugge KV vs Genk played?
- Club Brugge KV vs Genk is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.