Gent vs Standard Liege: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab model makes Gent the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gent vs Standard Liege?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Gent (1,956) and Standard Liege (1,905).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Standard Liege have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Gent win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Standard Liege win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-4 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Gent 4-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Standard Liege 0-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Gent 5-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 18, 2024 | Standard Liege 1-4 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Gent 5-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Gent on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gent sit 4th in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Standard Liege sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gent vs Standard Liege?
- The Footlab model makes Gent the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Gent vs Standard Liege played?
- Gent vs Standard Liege is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.