Match

St. Truiden vs Genk: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond

St. TruidenGenk

The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Truiden vs Genk?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate St. Truiden (2,031) and Genk (2,081).

35%27%38%
St. Truiden winDrawGenk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for St. Truiden vs Genk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Baždar
  1. 8A. Sissako
  2. 10I. Sebaoui
  3. 14R. Merlen
  4. 71R. Araki
  5. 38K. Matsuzawa
  1. 60R. Vanwesemael
  2. 5S. Taniguchi
  3. 3T. Hata
  4. 26V. Musliu
  1. 16L. Kokubo

Genk

4-3-3
  1. 17R. Durosinmi
  2. 10J. Ito
  3. 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
  1. 8B. Heynen
  2. 4B. Tahirović
  3. 38D. Heymans
  1. 20K. Amaro
  2. 18J. Kayembe
  3. 44J. Kongolo
  4. 6M. Smets
  1. 28L. Kiaba Mounganga

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Genk have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Truiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Saburtalo(home)2-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026KV Mechelen(away)3-4Jupiler Pro League
Sep 20, 2026KVC Westerlo(home)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 12, 2026SK Beveren(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026RAAL La Louvière(home)4-0Jupiler Pro League
Genk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Kortrijk(home)3-0Jupiler Pro League
Oct 3, 2026Fortuna Sittard(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Club Brugge KV(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Gent(home)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Anderlecht(away)0-0Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 St. Truiden wins, 2 draws, 4 Genk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Genk 1-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Sep 28, 2025St. Truiden 1-2 GenkJupiler Pro League
Jan 7, 2025St. Truiden 0-4 GenkCup
Dec 1, 2024St. Truiden 2-2 GenkJupiler Pro League
Oct 20, 2024Genk 3-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Jan 28, 2024St. Truiden 1-1 GenkJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Genk vs St. Truiden on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Truiden score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Truiden1.51.746/158/15
Genk1.71.938/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (8 points from 8 matches) and Genk sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Genk8332161212
12St. Truiden822415168

A question about St. Truiden vs Genk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Genk?
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for St. Truiden.
Where and when is St. Truiden vs Genk played?
St. Truiden vs Genk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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