HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate HNK Hajduk Split (1,988) and St. Truiden (2,032).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 23M. Šotiček
- 9Dali
- 7A. Sanyang
- 4A. Pajaziti
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 15D. Marešić
- 14R. Raci
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 22M. Acapandié
- 33T. Silić
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 14R. Merlen
- 71R. Araki
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 26V. Musliu
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 3T. Hata
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; St. Truiden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Vardarac(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 31, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Hajduk Split score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for HNK Hajduk Split.
- Where and when is HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden played?
- HNK Hajduk Split vs St. Truiden is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Poljud, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.