Club Nacional vs Cerro: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 16, 2014 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Cerro?
Club Nacional won 1-0 on November 16, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 30′D. ArismendiClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Cerro have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2014 | Penarol(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Fenix(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Rentistas(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Atenas(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Danubio(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2014 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Club Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2014 | Cerro 1-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Club Nacional 1-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2013 | Club Nacional 2-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Cerro 1-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Mar 4, 2012 | Club Nacional 3-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Cerro vs Club Nacional on May 4, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.1 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy