Club Nacional vs Juventud: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 18, 2012 at 08:05 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Juventud?
Club Nacional won 3-1 on November 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 22′J. BáezJuventud
- 32′G. BuenoClub Nacional
- 47′R. CésarClub Nacional
- 49′Pablo Álvarez MenéndezClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Juventud have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2012 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2012 | Bella Vista(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Juventud | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy