Club Nacional vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 4Kick-off on March 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Club Nacional vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on March 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 76′M. ArezoPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 5 wins, 10 draws and 0 defeats; Penarol have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 0-0 | Super Copa |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 1-0 | Serie Rio De La Plata |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Super Copa |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-2 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Club Nacional win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional | Super Copa |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Club Nacional 1-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Penarol 2-2 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Penarol 3-0 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Club Nacional 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Club Nacional on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 0.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Penarol | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy