Danubio vs Progreso: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 4Kick-off on February 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio and Progreso drew 2-2 on February 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′F. KiddDanubio (o.g.)
- 36′S. VieraProgreso
- 75′S. FernándezDanubio
- 90′I. CostantinoProgreso (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 0-1 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Danubio win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 31, 2025 | Progreso 0-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Progreso 2-2 Danubio | Copa Uruguay |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy