Club Nacional vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 1Kick-off on May 23, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Club Nacional vs Progreso?
Club Nacional won 1-0 on May 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 71′G. TrasanteClub Nacional (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Progreso have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| May 15, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 7, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 3, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Juventud(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 4, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Club Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Progreso 1-5 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progreso 0-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso 1-3 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Club Nacional on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Progreso | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy