Club Nacional vs Progreso: result 6-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 1, 2012 at 10:35 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Club Nacional vs Progreso?
Club Nacional won 6-1 on December 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 12′A. ScottiClub Nacional
- 18′G. AllesProgreso
- 37′A. ScottiClub Nacional
- 45′M. AppeltClub Nacional (o.g.)
- 58′Carlos Alberto Canobbio BentaberryClub Nacional (o.g.)
- 82′G. BuenoClub Nacional
- 90′242939Club Nacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Progreso have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2012 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Penarol(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy