Penarol vs Juventud: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 2, 2012 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Juventud?
Penarol won 2-0 on December 2, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 15′B. De BarrosPenarol (o.g.)
- 85′Juan Manuel Olivera LópezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Juventud have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Progreso(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2012 | Progreso(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Juventud | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy