Coastal Union vs Tabora United: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Tabora United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Tabora United?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Coastal Union (1,541) and Tabora United (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tabora United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Coastal Union win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Tabora United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Coastal Union 1-1 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-1 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Tabora United 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Tabora United 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Coastal Union 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Tabora United vs Coastal Union on Jun 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tabora United score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tabora United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (0 points from 2 matches) and Tabora United sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tabora United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Coastal Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Tabora United?
- The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Tabora United.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Tabora United played?
- Coastal Union vs Tabora United is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.