Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Pamba Jiji (1,499) and Coastal Union (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pamba Jiji win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Coastal Union win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 3-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Coastal Union 2-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji on Jun 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 12th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Coastal Union sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.