Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pamba Jiji wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Pamba Jiji (1,539) and Coastal Union (1,619).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pamba Jiji
4-3-3- 21S. Karabaka
- 54H. Lutonja
- 6M. Samamba
- 26J. Ochieng
- 42I. Diomande
- 40F. Kundo
- 25Abdalla Salum Kheri
- 2A. Machupa
- 37D. Richard
- 14A. Yonta Camara
- 18E. Johola
Coastal Union
4-3-3- 7M. Andrea
- 9M. M. Maabad
- 25S. Kichuya
- 8G. Manyasi
- 6S. Mwanza
- 13K. Gradi
- 5A. Laurent
- 2R. Aidan
- 24S. Chuku
- 5A. A. Msangi
- 1C. Ramadhani
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pamba Jiji wins, 0 draws, 2 Coastal Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 3-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Coastal Union 2-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji on Jun 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 11 matches) and Coastal Union sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.