Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Verapaz Jose Angel Rossi, Cobán
The Footlab model makes Cobán Imperial the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Xelajú. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Cobán Imperial (1,634) and Xelajú (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobán Imperial have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Xelajú have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Plaza Amador(away) | 2-5 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cobán Imperial win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Xelajú win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xelajú 2-1 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Cobán Imperial 1-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Xelajú 3-1 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Cobán Imperial 2-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Xelajú 2-0 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cobán Imperial 1-0 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobán Imperial score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Xelajú score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobán Imperial | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Xelajú | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobán Imperial sit 6th in Liga Nacional (32 points from 22 matches) and Xelajú sit 1st (39 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelajú | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
| 6 | Cobán Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
- The Footlab model makes Cobán Imperial the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Xelajú.
- Where and when is Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú played?
- Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Verapaz Jose Angel Rossi, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.