Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
The Footlab AI model makes Xelajú the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Suchitepéquez. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez?
Xelajú starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,542).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xelajú
4-3-3- 26E. Cardoza
- 29D. Casas
- 11S. Cárdenas
- 13W. Tebalán
- 70Y. Jaen
- 16J. Cardona
- 14J. Gónzalez
- 23R. Calderon
- 18J. Castañeda
- 5E. Monreal
- 98Estuardo Santiago Sican Avila
Suchitepéquez
4-3-3- 10F. González
- 7A. Lezcano
- 11Nery Cabrera
- 17M. Rivas
- 18A. Zamorano
- 99F. Montaño
- 21M. Icute
- 14W. Diaz
- 28J. Corena
- 4V. Torres
- 22Jussef Delgado
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xelajú have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Suchitepéquez have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Xelajú wins, 2 draws, 2 Suchitepéquez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Suchitepéquez 2-2 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 8, 2018 | Xelajú 4-3 Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Suchitepéquez 1-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 12, 2017 | Xelajú 4-1 Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2017 | Suchitepéquez 4-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Suchitepéquez 1-0 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Xelajú score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Suchitepéquez score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xelajú | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Suchitepéquez | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelajú | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
A question about Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xelajú the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Suchitepéquez.
- Where and when is Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez played?
- Xelajú vs Suchitepéquez is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mario Camposeco, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.