Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
The Footlab model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for D. Puerto Montt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Cobreloa (1,706) and D. Puerto Montt (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobreloa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; D. Puerto Montt have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cobreloa win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 D. Puerto Montt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt 1-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Cobreloa 1-0 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Mar 6, 2023 | D. Puerto Montt 0-0 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2022 | D. Puerto Montt 1-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Cobreloa 2-1 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Oct 27, 2021 | D. Puerto Montt 0-0 Cobreloa | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: D. Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobreloa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; D. Puerto Montt score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobreloa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| D. Puerto Montt | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobreloa sit 1st in Primera B (38 points from 21 matches) and D. Puerto Montt sit 7th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt?
- The Footlab model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for D. Puerto Montt.
- Where and when is Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt played?
- Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.