Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, Recoleta
The Footlab model makes Deportes Iquique the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Recoleta (1,617) and Deportes Iquique (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recoleta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Deportes Iquique have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Antofagasta(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Recoleta win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportes Iquique win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Deportes Iquique 1-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Deportes Iquique 2-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Recoleta 1-1 Deportes Iquique | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Recoleta 3-0 Deportes Iquique | Primera B |
| May 15, 2022 | Deportes Iquique 2-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Iquique score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoleta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportes Iquique | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recoleta sit 9th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Iquique sit 11th (25 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Iquique the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Recoleta.
- Where and when is Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique played?
- Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.