Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique: prediction and stats
Primera BMatchday 30Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, Recoleta
The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Iquique the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportes Iquique wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Recoleta (1,639) and Deportes Iquique (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Recoleta
4-3-3- 21G. Álvarez
- 9G. Estigarribia
- 20Carlos Gonzalez
- 19P. Sánchez
- 14I. Lara
- 6J. Espinoza
- 5F. Alarcón
- 4F. Tomarelli
- 16B. Viveros
- 28C. Rodríguez
- 23Á. Salazar
Deportes Iquique
4-3-3- 11Á. Ramos
- 24B. Barrera
- 17C. González
- 18B. Garrido
- 8A. Venezia
- 20D. Orellana
- 26F. Ledesma
- 21F. Espinoza
- 6M. López
- 14Dilan Rojas
- 12D. Castillo
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recoleta have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Deportes Iquique have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-6 | Primera B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Magallanes(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Magallanes(home) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 1-4 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Recoleta win, 2 draws, 2 Deportes Iquique wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Deportes Iquique 1-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Deportes Iquique 2-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Recoleta 1-1 Deportes Iquique | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Recoleta 3-0 Deportes Iquique | Primera B |
| May 15, 2022 | Deportes Iquique 2-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recoleta score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Iquique score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoleta | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Deportes Iquique | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recoleta sit 7th in Primera B (42 points from 29 matches) and Deportes Iquique sit 10th (38 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Recoleta | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 38 |
A question about Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Iquique the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Recoleta.
- Where and when is Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique played?
- Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.