San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica
The Footlab model makes San Marcos de Arica the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for San Luis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate San Marcos de Arica (1,631) and San Luis (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marcos de Arica have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; San Luis have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Espanola(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 San Marcos de Arica win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 San Luis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | San Luis 1-0 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | San Luis 1-1 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| May 24, 2025 | San Marcos de Arica 2-1 San Luis | Primera B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | San Luis 1-1 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
| May 28, 2024 | San Marcos de Arica 1-0 San Luis | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2023 | San Luis 2-3 San Marcos de Arica | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Marcos de Arica score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Luis score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcos de Arica | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| San Luis | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marcos de Arica sit 8th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and San Luis sit 6th (32 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Luis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?
- The Footlab model makes San Marcos de Arica the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for San Luis.
- Where and when is San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis played?
- San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.