Colchagua vs Municipal Salamanca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónPromotion Group - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jorge Silva Valenzuela, San Fernando
The Footlab model makes Municipal Salamanca the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Colchagua. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchagua vs Municipal Salamanca?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Colchagua (1,557) and Municipal Salamanca (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchagua have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Municipal Salamanca have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trasandino(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Santiago City(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Linares Unido(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Lota Schwager(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Deportes Rengo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Concón National(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Trasandino(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Concón National(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Real San Joaquín(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Colina(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Colchagua score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal Salamanca score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchagua | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Municipal Salamanca | 0.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchagua sit 3rd in Segunda División (22 points from 12 matches) and Municipal Salamanca sit 2nd (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Colchagua | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Municipal Salamanca | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchagua vs Municipal Salamanca?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Salamanca the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Colchagua.
- Where and when is Colchagua vs Municipal Salamanca played?
- Colchagua vs Municipal Salamanca is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jorge Silva Valenzuela, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.