Concón National vs Linares Unido: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónPromotion Group - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña, Quillota
The Footlab model makes Linares Unido the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Concón National. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concón National vs Linares Unido?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Concón National (1,617) and Linares Unido (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concón National have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Linares Unido have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Municipal Salamanca(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trasandino(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Provincial Osorno(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Santiago City(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Municipal Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santiago City(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Provincial Osorno(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Trasandino(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Colchagua(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Santiago Morning(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Concón National win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Linares Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Linares Unido 2-0 Concón National | Segunda División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Concón National 0-1 Linares Unido | Segunda División |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Linares Unido 1-2 Concón National | Segunda División |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Concón National 0-0 Linares Unido | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Linares Unido vs Concón National on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Concón National score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Linares Unido score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concón National | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Linares Unido | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concón National sit 4th in Segunda División (21 points from 12 matches) and Linares Unido sit 6th (19 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concón National | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Linares Unido | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concón National vs Linares Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Linares Unido the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Concón National.
- Where and when is Concón National vs Linares Unido played?
- Concón National vs Linares Unido is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.