Colchester vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Colchester (1,660) and Swindon Town (1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 10J. Payne
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 30K. Vincent-Young
- 20S. Raggett
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colchester wins, 1 draw, 3 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Swindon Town 3-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Colchester 3-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Swindon Town 0-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Swindon Town 3-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Colchester 4-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Swindon Town 2-1 Colchester | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Colchester on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 23rd in League Two (12 points from 13 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Colchester vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Swindon Town played?
- Colchester vs Swindon Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.