Gillingham vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Rochdale?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 21Kane Taylor
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 1Nils Ramming
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gillingham wins, 2 draws, 0 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rochdale 1-4 Gillingham | League Two |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Gillingham 2-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Rochdale 1-4 Gillingham | League One |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Rochdale 2-2 Gillingham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Gillingham on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gillingham sit 4th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Rochdale sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Gillingham vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Rochdale played?
- Gillingham vs Rochdale is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.