Colchester vs Swindon Town: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd RoundKick-off on December 3, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Colchester vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town won 0-1 on December 3, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 59′M. RitchieSwindon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Swindon Town have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Carlisle(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Crewe(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Notts County(home) | 4-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Nov 19, 2011 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Huddersfield(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 8, 2011 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Port Vale(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy