Match

Swindon Town vs Grimsby: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire

Swindon TownGrimsby

The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Grimsby. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,787) and Grimsby (1,848).

37%28%35%
Swindon Town winDrawGrimsby win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Grimsby

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Swindon Town

4-3-3
  1. 23A. Drinan
  2. 29A. Hackford
  3. 7T. Nichols
  1. 27A. Munda
  2. 25J. Thomson
  3. 8O. Clarke
  1. 5S. Negru
  2. 26D. Butler
  3. 6J. Ball
  4. 21K. Majekodunmi
  1. 1C. Ripley

Grimsby

4-1-4-1
  1. 39A. Cook
  1. 4K. Green
  2. 30C. Vernam
  3. 28F. Cartwright
  4. 14J. Amaluzor
  5. 15G. Turi
  1. 3J. Sweeney
  2. 5H. Rodgers
  3. 17C. McJannet
  4. 2M. Kacurri
  1. 31C. Pym

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swindon Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Crewe(home)0-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Rochdale(away)0-1League Two
Sep 26, 2026Accrington ST(home)1-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Newport County(home)0-2EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Salford City(away)0-1League Two
Grimsby
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Port Vale(away)0-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Burton Albion(home)0-0EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Shrewsbury(home)1-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Newport County(away)1-2League Two
Sep 22, 2026Notts County(away)1-2EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swindon Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Grimsby wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Grimsby 4-0 Swindon TownLeague Two
Nov 22, 2025Swindon Town 2-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
Apr 18, 2025Grimsby 0-4 Swindon TownLeague Two
Dec 21, 2024Swindon Town 3-1 GrimsbyLeague Two
Apr 20, 2024Grimsby 2-0 Swindon TownLeague Two
Sep 30, 2023Swindon Town 2-1 GrimsbyLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Grimsby vs Swindon Town on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Swindon Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Swindon Town1.21.518/159/15
Grimsby1.31.268/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swindon Town sit 17th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Grimsby sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Grimsby10343131113
17Swindon Town1032591411

A question about Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Grimsby.
Where and when is Swindon Town vs Grimsby played?
Swindon Town vs Grimsby is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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