Colchester vs Gillingham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Gillingham?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Colchester (1,805) and Gillingham (1,790).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Gillingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 27O. Thorn
- 12M. Sesay
- 7H. Anderson
- 10J. Payne
- 26J. Williams
- 15B. Lubala
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 6P. Digby
- 44S. Kuffour
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Gillingham have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colchester wins, 3 draws, 1 Gillingham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Gillingham 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Colchester 0-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Colchester 2-1 Gillingham | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Gillingham 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Colchester 2-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Colchester 0-1 Gillingham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Colchester on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 19th in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Gillingham sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Colchester vs Gillingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Gillingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Gillingham played?
- Colchester vs Gillingham is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.