Colina vs Lota Schwager: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRelegation Group - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Colina, Colina
The Footlab model makes Colina the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lota Schwager. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colina vs Lota Schwager?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Colina (1,524) and Lota Schwager (1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colina have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Lota Schwager have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Santiago Morning(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Rengo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Real San Joaquín(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Provincial Ovalle(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Concón National(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santiago Morning(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportes Rengo(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | General Velásquez(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Provincial Osorno(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Colchagua(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Colina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lota Schwager score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lota Schwager | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colina sit 11th in Segunda División (12 points from 12 matches) and Lota Schwager sit 10th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colina | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Lota Schwager | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colina vs Lota Schwager?
- The Footlab model makes Colina the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lota Schwager.
- Where and when is Colina vs Lota Schwager played?
- Colina vs Lota Schwager is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Colina, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.