Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRelegation Group - 4Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín, San Joaquín
The Footlab model makes Real San Joaquín the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Deportes Rengo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Real San Joaquín (1,493) and Deportes Rengo (1,500).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real San Joaquín have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Deportes Rengo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Provincial Ovalle(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santiago Morning(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Colina(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Trasandino(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Municipal Salamanca(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | General Velásquez(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lota Schwager(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Colina(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2026 | General Velásquez(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Santiago Morning(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real San Joaquín win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Deportes Rengo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Real San Joaquín 2-1 Deportes Rengo | Segunda División |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Deportes Rengo 1-0 Real San Joaquín | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Deportes Rengo 1-0 Real San Joaquín | Segunda División |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Real San Joaquín 0-1 Deportes Rengo | Segunda División |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Deportes Rengo 2-0 Real San Joaquín | Segunda División |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Real San Joaquín 2-1 Deportes Rengo | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo on Aug 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real San Joaquín score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Rengo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real San Joaquín | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Deportes Rengo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real San Joaquín sit 9th in Segunda División (13 points from 12 matches) and Deportes Rengo sit 12th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real San Joaquín | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Deportes Rengo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo?
- The Footlab model makes Real San Joaquín the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Deportes Rengo.
- Where and when is Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo played?
- Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo is played on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.