Colo Colo vs Union Espanola: prediction and stats
Copa ChileGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Union Espanola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colo Colo vs Union Espanola?
Colo Colo starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colo Colo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Union Espanola have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Antofagasta(home) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-3 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Colo Colo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Union Espanola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Union Espanola 0-3 Colo Colo | Copa Chile |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Colo Colo 0-0 Union Espanola | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Union Espanola 1-2 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| May 24, 2025 | Colo Colo 4-1 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Colo Colo 2-1 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Union Espanola 0-3 Colo Colo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Union Espanola vs Colo Colo on Jun 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colo Colo score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Espanola score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Union Espanola | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colo Colo vs Union Espanola?
- The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Union Espanola.
- Where and when is Colo Colo vs Union Espanola played?
- Colo Colo vs Union Espanola is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental David Arellano, in the Copa Chile.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 4, 2026Universidad de Concepcion1-3Curico Unido
- Aug 4, 2026Nublense1-0Rangers de Talca
- Aug 5, 2026Santiago Wanderers0-4Union La Calera
- Aug 5, 2026Union San Felipe0-1Universidad de Chile
- Aug 6, 2026Deportes Iquique3-1Deportes Limache
- Aug 6, 2026Coquimbo Unido1-0San Marcos de Arica
- Aug 27, 2026RecoletavsO'Higgins