Recoleta vs O'Higgins: prediction and stats
Copa ChileGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, Recoleta
The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recoleta vs O'Higgins?
O'Higgins starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recoleta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; O'Higgins have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Recoleta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 O'Higgins win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | O'Higgins 1-1 Recoleta | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: O'Higgins vs Recoleta on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; O'Higgins score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoleta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| O'Higgins | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recoleta vs O'Higgins?
- The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Recoleta.
- Where and when is Recoleta vs O'Higgins played?
- Recoleta vs O'Higgins is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, in the Copa Chile.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 4, 2026Universidad de Concepcion1-3Curico Unido
- Aug 4, 2026Nublense1-0Rangers de Talca
- Aug 5, 2026Santiago Wanderers0-4Union La Calera
- Aug 5, 2026Union San Felipe0-1Universidad de Chile
- Aug 6, 2026Deportes Iquique3-1Deportes Limache
- Aug 6, 2026Coquimbo Unido1-0San Marcos de Arica
- Aug 27, 2026Colo ColovsUnion Espanola