Match

Recoleta vs O'Higgins: prediction and stats

Copa ChileGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, Recoleta

RecoletaO'Higgins

The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Recoleta vs O'Higgins?

O'Higgins starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,616).

Recoleta win25 %
Draw25 %
O'Higgins win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recoleta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; O'Higgins have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Recoleta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Copiapo(home)2-1Primera B
Aug 18, 2026Deportes Temuco(away)1-1Primera B
Aug 12, 2026Rangers de Talca(home)4-2Primera B
Aug 8, 2026Union San Felipe(away)0-0Primera B
Aug 2, 2026D. Puerto Montt(home)0-1Primera B
O'Higgins
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Palestino(home)0-1Primera División
Aug 16, 2026Colo Colo(away)2-2Primera División
Aug 9, 2026Deportes Limache(home)1-3Primera División
Aug 2, 2026D. La Serena(away)2-1Primera División
Jul 31, 2026Boca Juniors(home)1-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Recoleta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 O'Higgins win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2026O'Higgins 1-1 RecoletaCopa Chile

Last archived meeting: O'Higgins vs Recoleta on Jun 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; O'Higgins score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Recoleta1.11.339/157/15
O'Higgins1.21.329/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Recoleta vs O'Higgins?
The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Recoleta.
Where and when is Recoleta vs O'Higgins played?
Recoleta vs O'Higgins is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, in the Copa Chile.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Recoleta and O'Higgins

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