Colombia vs Brazil: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on November 17, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Full time
What was the result of Colombia vs Brazil?
Colombia won 2-1 on November 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′Gabriel MartinelliBrazil
- 75′L. DíazColombia
- 79′L. DíazColombia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colombia have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Brazil have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Ecuador(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Uruguay(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Chile(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Venezuela(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Germany(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | Uruguay(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Venezuela(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Peru(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Bolivia(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Senegal(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Colombia win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Brazil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | Brazil 1-0 Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Colombia 0-0 Brazil | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 24, 2021 | Brazil 2-1 Colombia | Copa America |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Brazil 2-2 Colombia | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Colombia 1-1 Brazil | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jan 25, 2017 | Brazil 1-0 Colombia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Colombia score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia | 1.6 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Brazil | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colombia sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification South America (28 points from 18 matches) and Brazil sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy