Colón vs Oriental: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónSemi-finalsKick-off on November 18, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Campomar, Juan Lacaze
The Footlab AI model makes Colón the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Oriental. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colón wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,892 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colón vs Oriental?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Colón (1,716) and Oriental (1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colón vs Oriental
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colón
Not enough data to predict the Colón lineup.
Oriental
Not enough data to predict the Oriental lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colón have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oriental have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Colón wins, 4 draws, 2 Oriental wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Colón 0-0 Oriental | Segunda División |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Oriental 1-1 Colón | Segunda División |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Oriental 0-0 Colón | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Colón 0-0 Oriental | Segunda División |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Oriental 1-0 Colón | Segunda División |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Colón 0-1 Oriental | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Colón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oriental score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Oriental | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colón sit 3rd in Segunda División (42 points from 26 matches) and Oriental sit 8th (34 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colón | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 42 |
| 8 | Oriental | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 34 |
A question about Colón vs Oriental?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colón vs Oriental?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colón the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Oriental.
- Where and when is Colón vs Oriental played?
- Colón vs Oriental is played on November 18, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Campomar, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.