Oriental vs Colón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónSemi-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Parque Oriental, La Paz
The Footlab AI model makes Oriental the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Colón. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oriental wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,892 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriental vs Colón?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Oriental (1,691) and Colón (1,716).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oriental vs Colón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oriental
Not enough data to predict the Oriental lineup.
Colón
Not enough data to predict the Colón lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriental have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colón have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oriental wins, 4 draws, 0 Colón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Colón 0-0 Oriental | Segunda División |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Oriental 1-1 Colón | Segunda División |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Oriental 0-0 Colón | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Colón 0-0 Oriental | Segunda División |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Oriental 1-0 Colón | Segunda División |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Colón 0-1 Oriental | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Oriental score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriental | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Colón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oriental sit 8th in Segunda División (34 points from 26 matches) and Colón sit 3rd (42 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colón | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 42 |
| 8 | Oriental | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 34 |
A question about Oriental vs Colón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriental vs Colón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oriental the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Colón.
- Where and when is Oriental vs Colón played?
- Oriental vs Colón is played on November 15, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Parque Oriental, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.