Fenix vs Atenas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónSemi-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Capurro, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Atenas the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fenix. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atenas wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,892 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenix vs Atenas?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Fenix (1,653) and Atenas (1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenix vs Atenas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenix
Not enough data to predict the Fenix lineup.
Atenas
Not enough data to predict the Atenas lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenix have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atenas have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | La Luz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Oriental(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Colón(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fenix(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rentistas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fenix wins, 0 draws, 3 Atenas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atenas 4-0 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fenix 1-0 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Atenas 1-4 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Fenix 1-2 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Atenas 1-0 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Fenix 2-1 Atenas | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenix score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atenas score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atenas | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenix sit 12th in Segunda División (31 points from 26 matches) and Atenas sit 1st (47 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 23 | 47 |
| 12 | Fenix | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 31 | 31 |
A question about Fenix vs Atenas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenix vs Atenas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atenas the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fenix.
- Where and when is Fenix vs Atenas played?
- Fenix vs Atenas is played on November 15, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Parque Capurro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.