Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Historic Crew Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew II the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Chicago Fire II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Columbus Crew II (1,664) and Chicago Fire II (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chicago Fire II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Huntsville City(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | New York City II(home) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | New York RB II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Connecticut FC(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter Miami II(home) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Atlanta United II(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orlando City II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Toronto II(home) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(home) | 7-2 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Columbus Crew II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chicago Fire II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Columbus Crew II 3-3 Chicago Fire II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Chicago Fire II 6-1 Columbus Crew II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Chicago Fire II 5-0 Columbus Crew II | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Chicago Fire II 2-3 Columbus Crew II | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Columbus Crew II 0-1 Chicago Fire II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Columbus Crew II 1-1 Chicago Fire II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II on Oct 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Columbus Crew II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chicago Fire II score 2.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Chicago Fire II | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Columbus Crew II sit 5th in MLS Next Pro (42 points from 23 matches) and Chicago Fire II sit 4th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 37 | 39 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 42 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire II | 23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 36 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II?
- The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew II the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Chicago Fire II.
- Where and when is Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II played?
- Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Historic Crew Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC