Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania
The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Columbus Crew II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Philadelphia Union II (1,692) and Columbus Crew II (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philadelphia Union II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Columbus Crew II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Connecticut FC(home) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | New England II(away) | 4-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | New York City II(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chattanooga(away) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Huntsville City(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | New York City II(home) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | New York RB II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Connecticut FC(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Philadelphia Union II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Columbus Crew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Columbus Crew II 2-0 Philadelphia Union II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 17, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II 1-1 Columbus Crew II | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Columbus Crew II 1-3 Philadelphia Union II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Columbus Crew II 1-3 Philadelphia Union II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 11, 2025 | Philadelphia Union II 3-0 Columbus Crew II | MLS Next Pro |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Philadelphia Union II 4-0 Columbus Crew II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew II vs Philadelphia Union II on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Philadelphia Union II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Columbus Crew II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Philadelphia Union II sit 11th in MLS Next Pro (33 points from 24 matches) and Columbus Crew II sit 4th (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Columbus Crew II | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 42 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 42 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
- The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Columbus Crew II.
- Where and when is Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II played?
- Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC