Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Colwyn Bay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Colwyn Bay (1,885) and Barry Town (1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Barry Town have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colwyn Bay win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Barry Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 3-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Barry Town 0-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Colwyn Bay 1-4 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Colwyn Bay 1-0 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Barry Town sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?
- The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Colwyn Bay.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.