Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
The Footlab model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Cambrian & Clydach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Caernarfon Town (1,912) and Cambrian & Clydach (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Cambrian & Clydach have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cambrian & Clydach score 2.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 2.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Cambrian & Clydach sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cambrian & Clydach | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach?
- The Footlab model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Cambrian & Clydach.
- Where and when is Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach played?
- Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Oval, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.