Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
Full time
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
Colwyn Bay won 1-0 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′L. RoblesColwyn Bay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Penybont(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penybont(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Briton Ferry(away) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Holywell(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Colwyn Bay win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 3-0 Colwyn Bay | League Cup |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Colwyn Bay 0-4 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay on Aug 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 2.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 2.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy