Comercial MS vs Araguaia: result 0-2 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 2Kick-off on June 18, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Comercial MS vs Araguaia?
Araguaia won 0-2 on June 18, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 44′JuninhoAraguaia
- 78′Waldenrique Alves de OliveiraAraguaia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Comercial MS have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Araguaia have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2016 | Ceilândia(away) | 0-5 | Serie D |
| May 4, 2016 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 21, 2016 | Joinville(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 5, 2015 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Aparecidense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2016 | Aparecidense(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial MS score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Araguaia score 0.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial MS | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/11 | 3/11 |
| Araguaia | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy