Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI: prediction and stats
Piauiense - 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Deusdeth Melo, Campo Maior, Piauí
The Footlab model makes Comercial PI the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Flamengo PI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Comercial PI (1,534) and Flamengo PI (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial PI have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Flamengo PI have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Corí-Sabbá(away) | 1-2 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Corí-Sabbá(home) | 0-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Flamengo PI(home) | 0-1 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Corí-Sabbá(away) | 1-2 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Caicara(away) | 2-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Teresina Esporte Club(home) | 0-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Teresina Esporte Club(away) | 2-3 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Comercial PI(away) | 1-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Caicara(away) | 0-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Picos(home) | 3-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Comercial PI win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Flamengo PI win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Comercial PI 0-1 Flamengo PI | Piauiense - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial PI score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo PI score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial PI | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Flamengo PI | 0.6 | 2.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI?
- The Footlab model makes Comercial PI the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Flamengo PI.
- Where and when is Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI played?
- Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI is played on September 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Deusdeth Melo, in the Piauiense - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.