Comercial vs Portuguesa Santista: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 4Kick-off on January 25, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Portuguesa Santista?
Comercial won 2-1 on January 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 36′Thiago MouraPortuguesa Santista (o.g.)
- 43′Wendel AlexComercial
- 90′Alan MineiroComercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Portuguesa Santista have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2023 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Primavera SP(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Linense(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 1-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | São Caetano(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Rio Claro(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Novorizontino(home) | 4-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 13, 2022 | EC Lemense(home) | 5-0 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portuguesa Santista score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Portuguesa Santista | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy