Como vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Como. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris Saint Germain wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,298 vs 2,137).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Como vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 11Assane Diao
- 10N. Paz
- 7L. da Cunha
- 20M. Baturina
- 5M. Perrone
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 27Yan Couto
- 99T. Chalobah
- 3Álex Valle
- 1J. Butez
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 9Ferran Torres
- 11M. Akliouche
- 10O. Dembélé
- 87João Neves
- 17Vitinha
- 27Pedro Fernández
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 6I. Zabarnyi
- 25Nuno Mendes
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Paris Saint Germain have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 6th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 1 match) and Paris Saint Germain sit 5th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Como.
- Where and when is Como vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Como vs Paris Saint Germain is played on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.