Inter vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Liverpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs Liverpool?
On Elo ratings, Inter has 2,232 points and Liverpool 2,250.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 10Lautaro Martínez
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 23N. Barella
- 7P. Zieliński
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 95A. Bastoni
- 25M. Akanji
- 1Josep Martínez
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 8D. Szoboszlai
- 33R. Araújo
- 6M. Kerkez
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5J. Jacquet
- 1Alisson Becker
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Liverpool have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Inter win, 0 draws, 2 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | Inter 0-1 Liverpool | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Liverpool 0-1 Inter | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Inter 0-2 Liverpool | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 28th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 2 matches) and Liverpool sit 15th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 28 | Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
A question about Inter vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Liverpool.
- Where and when is Inter vs Liverpool played?
- Inter vs Liverpool is played on January 19, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.