Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Auxerre. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,366 Elo points against 1,985, a 382-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 11M. Akliouche
- 9Ferran Torres
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 87João Neves
- 4Beraldo
- 27Pedro Fernández
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 6I. Zabarnyi
- 21L. Hernández
- 12L. Digne
- 39M. Safonov
Auxerre
3-4-2-1- 9C. Archer
- 10D. Namaso
- 27L. Sy
- 5K. Danois
- 22F. Oppegård
- 8N. Ahamada
- 21R. Faivre
- 92C. Akpa
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 15C. Makosso
- 23M. Diop
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris Saint Germain have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Auxerre have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Paris Saint Germain wins, 1 draw, 0 Auxerre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Auxerre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Auxerre 0-0 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2023 | Auxerre 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paris Saint Germain score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Auxerre | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in Ligue 1 (14 points from 7 matches) and Auxerre sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Auxerre.
- Where and when is Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre played?
- Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Princes, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.