Match

Compostela vs Sestao River: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela

CompostelaSestao River

The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Compostela vs Sestao River?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Compostela (1,885) and Sestao River (1,892).

Compostela win43 %
Draw28 %
Sestao River win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sestao River have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Compostela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Badalona II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Badalona II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Atlético Arteixo(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026Atlético Arteixo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Sestao River
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Athletic Club(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Utebo(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Amorebieta(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Compostela win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sestao River win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2024Sestao River 0-1 CompostelaCopa Federacion

Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Compostela on Oct 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Compostela1.71.248/158/15
Sestao River1.01.239/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Sestao River?
The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Sestao River.
Where and when is Compostela vs Sestao River played?
Compostela vs Sestao River is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Compostela and Sestao River

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