Congo vs Liberia: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 11, 2018 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville
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What was the result of Congo vs Liberia?
Congo won 3-1 on October 11, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Congo have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Liberia have 3, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Libya(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 24, 2018 | Angola(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Burkina Faso(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 16, 2018 | Cameroon(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Congo DR(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jul 22, 2018 | Sierra Leone(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Mauritania(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Mauritania(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 11, 2017 | Zimbabwe(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Congo score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Liberia score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congo | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Liberia | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 3/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy